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Turkey’s New Foreign Policy towards the Central Asia & the Lessons of the Past

  Dr Manos Karagiannis, CEP Visting Lecturer, Varna University of Economics, Bulgaria

 

The end of the Cold War and the disintegration of the Soviet Union drastically changed the international environment of Turkey’s foreign and security policy. In this context, the development of Turkey’s relations with the new republics in Central Asia became a priority issue for the Turkish diplomacy. Turkey was confronted with a new Turkic world in Central Asia upon which she wanted to exert influence and from which she was confronted with certain demands. For the Turkish public, as well as country’s political elite, the emergence of new independent republics in what is regarded as the original Turkish homelands was a very welcome development. Turkey’s relative geopolitical isolation between, on the one side, the European Union (to which Turkey  strongly want to be member but often was rejected) and, on the other side, the Arab world (of which the Turks never saw themselves as an integral part and which itself displayed an attitude of strong reserve towards the Turkish state) all of a sudden seemed to have come to an end. Furthermore, the low level of economic and political development of the new republics conveyed to many Turks a general impression of superiority, while offering Ankara an opportunity to become a leading actor in post-Soviet Central Asia.

Therefore, the psychological pre-conditions were produced for high expectations and unrealistic imaginings by the Turkish public concerning the importance and scope of Turkey’s relations with the new republics of Central Asia. Most Turkish politicians, too, were quick to seize the opportunity to paint a bright picture of a new Turkic world stretching from the Adriatic Sea to the Chinese borderlands with Turkey at its centre. Before this background of expectations, it was a more or less common view that Central Asia not only would but, moreover, should become Turkey’s sphere of influence.

Indeed, Turkey was the first country to offer economic assistance to the new republics after their independence. Besides offering the credit facilities of Turkey’s Eximbank to an amount of more than $1bn, Turkey has been active in building the regional telecommunications infrastructure and in developing the banking sector by the establishment of joint ventures between Turkish banks and Central Asian state-run banks. Turkish institutions are regularly engaged in the training of businessmen, as well as of state officials from Central Asia, in order to familiarise them with the working of market economy mechanisms. The Turkish business community, too, discovered the new republics to be interesting markets. Construction firms, for instance, are engaged in various projects like building modern hotels, airports or industrial plants. Trade between Turkey and the Central Asian republics has, also, shown a considerable growth over the last few years.

The main problems for the improvement of economic relations are, on the one hand, the very slow diminution of the structural dependency of regional countries on economic links with Russia and other former soviet republics and, on the other hand, Turkey’s own shortage of economic and financial resources relative to the needs of its Central Asian partners. Although, by Turkish standards, the country is doing a lot for the Central Asian republics, the Turkish government is not really in a position to successfully deal with one of their main economic bottlenecks, the fundamental shortage of hard currency, that prevents them from developing broader international economic activities.